As you can see, almost all models predicted it to go through Florida also hitting Georgia and Alabama,” Trump tweeted.īut spaghetti plots like the one Trump tweeted are not forecasts. “This was the originally projected path of the Hurricane in its early stages. The map – a spaghetti model projection – shows multiple Southeastern US states in Dorian’s path, including Alabama. “The map was not brought by DHS for this briefing,” the source said.ĭespite the White House’s assertion that Trump was being briefed hourly on the hurricane, the President appeared to stand by his claim Wednesday night by citing a seven-day-old hurricane projection map from the South Florida Water Management District. I don’t know.”Ī source familiar with the matter says the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees the Federal Emergency Management Agency, did not provide the altered map Trump showed in the Oval Office. “I know that Alabama was in the original forecast,” Trump said later Wednesday when asked about the image he showed, adding that there were other maps showing Alabama being “hit very hard.”Īsked whether the black line over Alabama was made with a permanent marker, Trump said, “I don’t know.
And the official track from the National Hurricane Center never showed Dorian’s track entering the Gulf of Mexico, as Trump also claimed. But that map bears little resemblance to the one Trump showed on Wednesday. NOAAĪn early archived version of a NOAA map from Thursday, August 29, showed the hurricane veering left toward Florida, but it did not appear to have a black line to show Alabama would be affected.ĬNN Weather meteorologists say one forecast on Friday afternoon showed one-tenth of one county in extreme southeast Alabama was included in one model. Hurricane Dorian path, Thursday August 29, 2019, 11 a.m. The system will remain too far east,” the branch tweeted. We repeat, no impacts from Hurricane #Dorian will be felt across Alabama. “Alabama will NOT see any impacts from #Dorian. The claim got pushback from weather experts, including the Birmingham, Alabama, branch of the National Weather Service. Over the course of the storm’s development, Trump has erroneously claimed multiple times that Alabama had been in the storm’s path. NOAA referred questions to the White House, whose press office did not immediately respond to queries about the map.Ī NOAA spokeswoman also declined to answer whether Alabama had ever been in the cone of impact, saying she would need to follow up because she didn’t have the information in front of her. “I’m not going to get into that,” the source said, but confirmed the line had been added during the storm briefing Wednesday, before the press entered the Oval Office. The official said the graphic wasn’t part of the initial presentation, and that it was behind Trump but the President moved it during the presentation to show how bad Dorian could have been.Ī source familiar with the briefing would not deny that Trump had drawn the black line on the map. One of the officials in the room agreed and used a black marker, unprompted, to make the point by extending a line all the way into the southeast region of Alabama, according to the official, who described the situation as “innocuous.”
#DORIAN PATH MODELS AFTER FLORIDA UPDATE#
President gives an update on Hurricane #Dorian: 1:26 PM Ī White House official told CNN there had been a discussion in the Oval Office before the briefing about what the early models showed and that Dorian could have been worse than initial projections.
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